Abstract
Whether donor–recipient HLA epitope mismatch burden is associated with specific peripheral immune phenotypes in clinically stable liver transplant (LT) recipients remains unclear. In this exploratory translational study, we evaluated whether HLA epitope mismatch burden, quantified by the PIRCHE-II score, is associated with coordinated peripheral immune configurations in 14 clinically stable LT recipients. Prespecified biologically informed immune cell ratios spanning innate and adaptive compartments were analyzed within a constrained hierarchical framework using Benjamini–Hochberg false discovery rate correction across four primary endpoints; secondary exploratory analyses evaluated broader immune families using within-family correction. Higher PIRCHE-II scores were associated predominantly with innate immune phenotypes, particularly increased proportions of nonclassical monocytes and CD56+CD16high natural killer cells, representing the most robust associations across analytical frameworks, with directionally consistent but statistically attenuated associations observed in CD8+CD38+ T cells and IgM+IgD+ B-cell compartments in exploratory analyses. These associations occurred without evidence of overt systemic inflammation or major changes in absolute immune cell counts, indicating a qualitative, innate-predominant immune skewing rather than generalized immune activation. These findings support specific and consistent peripheral immune phenotypes associated with epitope mismatch burden in clinically stable LT recipients, although interpretation remains limited by the small sample size and exploratory design.
Graphical Abstract
Introduction
Liver transplantation (LT) is characterized by a distinctive immunological profile, with less acute rejection (AR) and greater immune tolerance than other solid organ transplants []. Nonetheless, this tolerogenic milieu coexists with persistent low-grade alloimmune heterogeneity, even in clinically stable recipients [, ]. This has been linked to progressive graft injury, fibrosis, and late graft dysfunction without overt rejection [, ], suggesting that relevant immunological processes may precede clinical events. Accordingly, clinically stable LT may represent a particularly informative setting in which to identify early peripheral immune configurations associated with subclinical alloimmune engagement.
Allorecognition after LT occurs through direct and indirect pathways. While direct allorecognition predominates early after transplantation, the indirect pathway—driven by recipient presentation of donor-derived HLA peptides to CD4+ T cells—has been associated with sustained immune activation, chronic rejection, and antibody-mediated injury [, ]. In the liver, continuous antigen exposure within a tolerogenic microenvironment may favor persistent low-grade indirect allorecognition and long-term immune adaptation rather than overt rejection. However, how this epitope-level alloimmune burden is reflected across peripheral innate and adaptive immune phenotypes in clinically stable LT recipients remains incompletely defined. Epitope-based approaches provide a quantitative framework to assess donor–recipient HLA incompatibility beyond conventional antigen-level matching [].
The Predicted Indirectly Recognizable HLA Epitopes (PIRCHE-II) score estimates the number of donor-derived HLA peptides that can be presented by recipient HLA class II molecules. It provides a quantitative proxy of indirect allorecognition, not a direct measure of immune activation []. Higher PIRCHE-II scores have been associated with donor-specific antibodies (DSA) and adverse outcomes in other solid organ transplants [], although associations with clinical endpoints in adult LT recipients have been inconsistent [, ]. Thus, the immunological correlates of PIRCHE-II in LT recipients remain poorly defined.
Although high-dimensional immunophenotyping provides detailed resolution of immune differentiation and activation states, its interpretation is often limited by biological complexity and small sample sizes. In this setting, biologically informed immune ratios provide an analytical framework to integrate related immune features and capture coordinated patterns across immune lineages [, ]. Structuring these approaches within biologically related immune families may identify coordinated patterns while limiting analytical redundancy.
Accordingly, rather than evaluating PIRCHE-II as a predictor of clinical outcomes, this study was designed as an exploratory translational analysis to determine whether donor–recipient HLA epitope mismatch burden is associated with peripheral immune phenotypes in clinically stable LT recipients. To our knowledge, this relationship has not previously been examined in LT.
Patients and methods
Study design and population
This observational exploratory study prospectively enrolled consecutive adult LT recipients at the routine month-3 visit at a single tertiary transplant center. Clinical stability was defined as absence of biopsy-proven acute rejection, clinically significant infection, or graft dysfunction requiring diagnostic or therapeutic intervention; no additional selection criteria were applied. All eligible recipients were included (n = 14); none declined or was unable to participate. Standard early post-transplant immunosuppression adjustments were allowed. Given the exploratory design and small sample, analyses were biologically structured to prioritize signal coherence; no formal sample size calculation was performed.
Peripheral blood samples for immunophenotyping were collected at predefined post-transplant time points as part of a prospective translational research protocol embedded in routine clinical practice. Primary cross-sectional analyses used month-3 samples (∼90 days after LT), after most AR episodes occur [] and beyond the conventional threshold between early and late rejection []; restricted to recipients without biopsy-proven rejection, this captures a population beyond the highest early immunological risk while remaining clinically informative. Longitudinal exploratory analyses assessing temporal stability of immune phenotypes between months 3 and 6 were performed in recipients with paired samples available at both time points. Missing data were not imputed, and analyses were performed using available-case data.
The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and approved by the local institutional ethics committee. All participants provided written informed consent.
Assessment of HLA epitope mismatch
Donor–recipient HLA epitope mismatch burden was primarily quantified using the PIRCHE-II score, which estimates the number of donor-derived HLA peptides predicted to be processed and presented by recipient HLA class II molecules. The global PIRCHE-II score was defined a priori as the primary exposure variable and interpreted as a modeling-based surrogate of indirect alloimmune burden, not a direct functional measure of immune activation. Complete donor and recipient HLA typing data were available for all participants.
As a complementary analysis, the Snow score was calculated as a secondary measure of donor–recipient HLA incompatibility based on B-cell epitope–level surface mismatch, using a previously described computational framework []. Because Snow captures class I B-cell epitope mismatch rather than global indirect allorecognition, it was analyzed as a contextual comparator, not a co-primary exposure.
Immunophenotyping and prespecified immune endpoints
Peripheral blood immunophenotyping was performed using multiparameter flow cytometry to characterize innate and adaptive immune cell populations. Immune subsets were primarily expressed as ratios relative to their respective parent populations to capture qualitative immune differentiation while minimizing confounding due to interindividual variability in absolute leukocyte counts. The selection of immune ratios was predefined based on biological plausibility and prior immunological knowledge, rather than data-driven variable selection, in line with recommended analytical approaches for high-dimensional immune profiling [, ].
Four immune parameters were defined a priori as prespecified primary immune endpoints based on biological plausibility and prior evidence: i) the ratio of nonclassical to total monocytes, reflecting skewing toward a patrolling and vascular-surveillance monocyte phenotype []; ii) the ratio of CD56+CD16high to CD56+CD16+ natural killer (NK) cells, representing NK-cell functional differentiation []; iii) the ratio of CD8+CD38+ to total CD8+ T cells, as a marker of cytotoxic T-cell activation []; and iv) the ratio of IgM+IgD+ to total B-cells, capturing compositional remodeling within the naïve-like B-cell compartment []. These four endpoints constituted the prespecified primary outcomes; remaining variables were analyzed within predefined exploratory immune families and interpreted descriptively. Detailed immunophenotyping procedures, immune ratio definitions, and analytical grouping strategies are provided in the Supplementary Methods. These ratios were selected a priori on biological grounds; one interpretable ratio per lineage (monocyte, NK-cell, T-cell, B-cell) spanned innate and adaptive compartments while limiting primary tests.
Detection of donor-specific antibodies
Serum samples were analyzed for preformed and de novo DSA using single-antigen bead assays following standard clinical protocols. Analyses relating DSA status to immune phenotypes were exploratory, descriptive, and intended to generate hypotheses rather than to establish causal relationships.
Statistical analysis
Associations between immune phenotypic variables and HLA epitope mismatch scores were evaluated using Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient (ρ), given the small sample size and non-normal distribution of variables. The primary analysis tested associations between the global PIRCHE-II score and the four prespecified immune endpoints, with Benjamini–Hochberg false discovery rate (FDR) correction applied across these four tests [].
Secondary exploratory analyses evaluated broader immune ratio sets within predefined families, with within-family FDR correction and descriptive interpretation of signal distribution across immune compartments, without redefining primary conclusions. FDR-adjusted q values <0.05 were considered statistically significant, and q values <0.10 were considered suggestive of association.
Additional exploratory analyses related global PIRCHE-II scores and the four prespecified immune ratios to liver biochemistry and an alloimmune clinical endpoint. Associations with continuous variables were assessed using Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient, and comparisons between groups were performed using rank-sum tests. Given the exploratory nature of these analyses and the limited sample size, results were reported descriptively without formal correction for multiple testing.
All analyses were conducted using available-case data without imputation. Statistical analyses were performed using Stata version 16.0 (StataCorp, College Station, TX). Data visualization and figure generation were performed using R software (version 4.5.3; R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria).
Results
Study population and transplant characteristics
Fourteen adult LT recipients were included. Median age at transplantation was 62.3 years (IQR 56.5–64.3), and the median MELD-Na score was 15 (IQR 13–18). Most grafts were obtained from donors after brain death, and all patients received tacrolimus-based immunosuppression according to institutional protocols. Baseline recipient, donor, and transplant characteristics are summarized in Table 1. No consistent clinical gradients across the range of global PIRCHE-II scores were formally identified.
TABLE 1
| Variable | Total (n = 14) |
|---|---|
| Recipient characteristics | |
| Age at transplantation, years | 62.3 (56.5–64.3) |
| Male sex | 11 (78.6) |
| MELD-Na score | 15 (13–18) |
| Underlying liver disease | |
| Alcohol-related liver disease | 4 (28.6) |
| Autoimmune liver disease (PSC/PBC/AIH) | 4 (28.6) |
| MASLD | 1 (7.1) |
| Mixed etiology (alcohol + MASLD) | 1 (7.1) |
| Other | 4 (28.6) |
| Donor characteristics | |
| Donor age, years | 63.0 (39.0–67.0) |
| Donor BMI, kg/m2 | 25.7 (24.4–29.6) |
| Donor hypertension | 3 (21.4) |
| Donor diabetes mellitus | 2 (14.3) |
| Transplant characteristics | |
| Donation after brain death | 9 (64.3) |
| Donation after circulatory death | 5 (35.7) |
| Cold ischemia time, min | 290 (260–345) |
| Warm ischemia time, min | 30 (28–38) |
| Static cold storage | 9 (64.3) |
| Normothermic machine perfusion | 3 (21.4) |
| Hypothermic oxygenated perfusion (HOPE) | 2 (14.3) |
| Reperfusion syndrome | 3 (21.4) |
| Immunosuppression | |
| Induction/initial regimen | |
| Tacrolimus + corticosteroids (no induction) | 7 (50.0) |
| Basiliximab + MMF + corticosteroids | 5 (35.7) |
| Basiliximab + tacrolimus + corticosteroids | 1 (7.1) |
| Basiliximab + tacrolimus + MMF (steroid-free) | 1 (7.1) |
| Basiliximab induction, any | 7 (50.0) |
| Maintenance at month 3 | |
| Tacrolimus | 14 (100) |
| Tacrolimus trough level, ng/mL | 7.75 (5.7–9.5) |
| Mycophenolate mofetil | 6 (42.9) |
| MMF dose, mg/day | 500 (500–1000) |
| Corticosteroids (prednisone) | 12 (85.7) |
| Prednisone dose, mg/day | 5 (5–5) |
| Everolimus | 3 (21.4) |
| Everolimus trough level, ng/mL | 2.6 (2.1–4.8) |
Recipient, donor, and transplant characteristics of the study cohort (n = 14).
Data are presented as median (interquartile range) or number (percentage), as appropriate. MELD-Na score refers to the value at the time of transplantation. Immune phenotyping was performed on peripheral blood samples collected at a standardized post-transplant follow-up time point (month 3 after transplantation). All recipients were clinically stable at the time of sampling, with no evidence of acute rejection, infection, or graft dysfunction requiring intervention. Standard early post-transplant immunosuppression adjustments were permitted. Immunosuppression variables, including trough levels, refer to the month-3, sampling time point.
Abbreviations: MELD-Na, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease including sodium; BMI, body mass index; PSC, primary sclerosing cholangitis; PBC, primary biliary cholangitis; AIH, autoimmune hepatitis; MASLD, metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease; HOPE, hypothermic oxygenated perfusion.
HLA epitope mismatch burden
The global PIRCHE-II score showed substantial interindividual variability, with a median value of 584.5 (IQR 382.0–689.0). Both HLA class I and class II epitopes contributed to the overall mismatch burden. Among class I loci, contributions from HLA-A, -B, and -C were observed, whereas within class II loci, the highest epitope load was consistently identified at the HLA-DQ locus, followed by DRB and DP. The distribution of global PIRCHE-II scores and class- and locus-specific subscores is detailed in Supplementary Table S1. The median Snow score was 13.0 (IQR 11.0–21.0).
Association between HLA epitope mismatch and prespecified immune ratio endpoints
Associations between global PIRCHE-II epitope mismatch burden and the four prespecified immune ratio endpoints are shown in Figure 1. After Benjamini–Hochberg correction across the four prespecified endpoints, higher global PIRCHE-II scores were associated with prespecified immune phenotypes across innate and adaptive compartments within the primary analytical framework.
FIGURE 1
Specifically, global PIRCHE-II scores were correlated with the proportion of nonclassical monocytes among total monocytes (Spearman ρ = 0.735; FDR-adjusted q = 0.017). A similar association was observed for the ratio of CD56+CD16high to CD56+CD16+ NK cells (ρ = 0.670; FDR-adjusted q = 0.024). Within the adaptive immune compartment, higher PIRCHE-II scores showed directionally consistent associations with increased proportions of IgM+IgD+ B-cells (ρ = 0.626; FDR-adjusted q = 0.022) and CD8+CD38+ phenotypically activated T cells (ρ = 0.600; FDR-adjusted q = 0.023), although these adaptive associations were comparatively less robust and less consistent across exploratory analyses than those observed in innate compartments. All associations were directionally consistent across prespecified endpoints, with the strongest and most robust signals observed in innate immune compartments.
To further contextualize the specificity of these findings, we compared PIRCHE-II with an alternative epitope mismatch framework based on B-cell epitope accessibility (Snow score). As illustrated in Figure 2, PIRCHE-II demonstrated directionally concordant associations across prespecified immune endpoints, whereas the Snow score showed weaker and less consistent associations.
FIGURE 2
Exploratory immune family–based analyses
To assess the internal consistency of the prespecified findings, exploratory analyses were performed within biologically defined immune families using PIRCHE-II as the exposure variable, with FDR correction applied within each lineage. Detailed results are provided in Supplementary Table S2.
Within the monocyte and NK-cell families, the associations between PIRCHE-II and the nonclassical-to-total monocyte ratio and the CD56+CD16high to CD56+CD16+ NK-cell ratio, respectively, remained statistically significant after within-family correction. In contrast, no dendritic-cell ratio met the within-family correction threshold. Within the T-cell and B-cell families, several associations were directionally concordant with the prespecified endpoints but did not remain statistically significant after correction for multiple testing.
These exploratory analyses supported the primary findings by showing that the strongest and most consistent associations localized to monocyte and NK-cell compartments, whereas adaptive immune signals were less stable across broader lineage-specific candidate sets.
Figure 3 summarizes the direction and magnitude of associations across immune families. Notably, the strongest and most consistent PIRCHE-II–associated signals were concentrated within innate immune compartments, particularly monocytes and NK cells, whereas adaptive compartments showed weaker and less consistent associations.
FIGURE 3
Supplementary Tables S1–S3 provide additional exploratory analyses and detailed numerical results.
Exploratory analyses of absolute immune cell counts and detailed subpopulations
Exploratory analyses evaluating associations between global PIRCHE-II scores and absolute immune cell counts did not reveal consistent or systematic correlations across innate or adaptive lineages. Although isolated associations reached nominal significance, they were heterogeneous and not robust after multiple-testing correction. No consistent lineage-wide pattern comparable to immune cell ratios was identified. Detailed results are provided in Supplementary Table S3.
Exploratory analyses of circulating cytokines and endothelial activation markers
Several cytokines classically associated with acute T-cell–mediated immune activation—namely interferon-γ, tumor necrosis factor-α, interleukin-2, and interleukin-17A—were undetectable in the majority of patients and were not included in downstream correlative analyses.
Among the remaining analytes, including IL-4, IL-6, IL-10, ICAM-1, VCAM-1, and E-selectin, associations with immune cell ratios and with global PIRCHE-II scores were heterogeneous and generally modest, without evidence of a consistent lineage-wide pattern and without a systemic inflammatory signature comparable to that observed for immune cell ratios (Supplementary Tables S4, S5).
Association of PIRCHE-II and immune phenotypes with donor-specific antibodies
DSA assessment at month 3 was available in 10 recipients, of whom 2 (20%) exhibited detectable DSA. At month 6, DSA assessment was available in 7 recipients, with DSA detected in 2 (28.6%). Among the six recipients with DSA assessments available at both time points, one patient exhibited persistent DSA from month 3 to month 6, whereas another developed de novo DSA at month 6; no cases of DSA disappearance were observed. All DSA detected at month 3 were directed against HLA class II antigens. At month 6, a more heterogeneous humoral profile was observed, with one recipient exhibiting isolated class I DSA and the other displaying combined class I and class II DSA. Among DSA-positive cases, the maximal mean fluorescence intensity of class II DSA was 5325 (IQR 1650–9000) at month 3 and 4800 (IQR 2600–7000) at month 6, whereas class I DSA reached a maximal MFI of 4000.
Recipients with detectable DSA at month 3 showed higher PIRCHE-II scores compared with DSA-negative recipients (median 779 [IQR 708–850] vs. 589 [IQR 467–647.5]). Notably, both DSA-positive recipients exhibited PIRCHE-II values above the interquartile range of DSA-negative patients, suggesting directional separation despite the very small number of DSA-positive cases. Given this limited sample size, this comparison was interpreted as descriptive and hypothesis-generating rather than inferential, despite a nominal p value (p = 0.037). The only biopsy-confirmed rejection was a mild acute cellular rejection on day 6 post-transplant, before month-3 sampling and without detectable DSA; one recipient (7.1%) had an early surgical site infection, also before month-3 sampling.
In exploratory analyses, Snow scores showed substantial overlap between DSA-positive and DSA-negative recipients at month 3 (median 17 [IQR 13–21] vs. 13 [IQR 9.5–20.5]; p = 0.60).
Exploratory analyses of predefined antigen-presenting cell–related immune ratios according to DSA status at month 3 suggested a consistent directional pattern. Compared with DSA-negative recipients, those with detectable DSA tended to exhibit lower proportions of ILT3+ILT4+ dendritic cells relative to total dendritic cells (median 0.24 [IQR 0.09–0.38] vs. 0.40 [IQR 0.19–0.45]) and lower plasmacytoid-to-conventional dendritic cell ratios (median 0.25 [IQR 0.21–0.29] vs. 0.59 [IQR 0.17–0.67]), whereas the proportion of CD83+ conventional dendritic cells showed substantial overlap between groups. In addition, DSA-positive recipients displayed higher monocyte-associated CD64-to-CD14 ratios (median 14.28 [IQR 0.78–27.78] vs. 0.23 [IQR 0.06–0.76]). All these comparisons were descriptive and should be interpreted as hypothesis-generating.
Exploratory analyses of clinical and biochemical correlates
To provide additional clinical context for the observed immunophenotypic patterns, exploratory analyses were performed relating global PIRCHE-II burden and the four prespecified immune ratios to graft biochemistry and short-term longitudinal immune phenotype trajectories between months 3 and 6.
Liver biochemical parameters
Spearman correlations between global PIRCHE-II scores and liver biochemical parameters—alanine aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyltransferase, and bilirubin—at months 3, 6, and 12 were non-significant, with correlation coefficients ranging from −0.19 to 0.28. Correlations between the four prespecified immune ratios and month-3 biochemical parameters were likewise non-significant. The largest observed association was between the CD56+CD16high NK-cell ratio and gamma-glutamyltransferase at month 3 (ρ = −0.41; p = 0.17).
Longitudinal immune phenotype trajectories
Delta values, calculated as month 6 minus month 3, were assessed for the four prespecified immune ratios in recipients with paired samples available (n = 8 for nonclassical monocytes and NK cells; n = 9 for CD8+ T-cells and B-cells). Correlations between global PIRCHE-II scores and longitudinal changes in these immune ratios were uniformly non-significant, without evidence of consistent directional trajectories across immune compartments.
Overall, these exploratory analyses did not identify significant associations beyond the primary immunophenotypic findings, supporting the interpretation that PIRCHE-II–associated immune phenotypes are predominantly subclinical, reflected at the cellular level rather than through overt graft injury.
Discussion
Clinically stable LT recipients represent an immunological setting characterized by relative tolerance and reduced overt rejection responses []. In this exploratory study, higher donor–recipient HLA epitope mismatch quantified by the PIRCHE-II score was associated predominantly with innate immune phenotypes despite clinical stability. These associations occurred in the absence of graft dysfunction, systemic inflammation, or major changes in absolute immune cell counts, suggesting predominantly qualitative immune phenotypes rather than generalized immune activation. Importantly, these findings should be interpreted within an exploratory, hypothesis-generating framework rather than as direct clinical inference. The wide interindividual distribution of PIRCHE-II scores highlights heterogeneity in indirect alloimmune potential among LT recipients despite apparent clinical stability []. Taken together, our results suggest that epitope-level mismatch is associated with a specific, consistent peripheral immune phenotype that is directionally concordant across innate and adaptive compartments rather than global immune activation. These data do not demonstrate that PIRCHE-II directly determines peripheral immunity; instead, they support an association with specific, internally consistent immune phenotypes under conditions of clinical stability. This interpretation is summarized in Figure 4 as a conceptual, association-based framework rather than a causal mechanistic model.
FIGURE 4
One of the most robust associations was observed between PIRCHE-II scores and the proportion of nonclassical monocytes. These cells are recognized as mediators of vascular surveillance and immune regulation in settings of sustained immune stimulation [, ], and have been described in contexts of low-grade antigenic exposure rather than acute inflammation []. Their relative expansion in the present study, in the absence of a systemic inflammatory signature, is consistent with persistent low-level antigenic stimulation rather than overt inflammatory activation. In liver disease, expansion of monocyte and macrophage compartments has been linked to chronic inflammatory signaling and leukocyte recruitment [], supporting the biological plausibility of this observation after LT. These findings reinforce the predominance of innate immune signals in the observed associations.
Higher PIRCHE-II scores were also associated with a shift toward CD56+CD16high NK cells, a phenotype linked to terminal differentiation and enhanced cytotoxic potential [, ]. This occurred without changes in total NK-cell counts, consistent with selective differentiation rather than expansion. Given the liver-enriched biology of NK cells and their roles in rejection and tolerance [, ], these findings support epitope mismatch–associated innate immune differentiation.
Within the adaptive immune compartment, PIRCHE-II scores showed directionally consistent associations with increased proportions of CD8+CD38+ activated T cells and IgM+IgD+ B-cells. However, these associations were less robust than those observed in innate compartments and were attenuated in broader exploratory analyses. CD38 expression on CD8+ T-cells reflects recent activation and effector differentiation [] and has been reported in LT recipients in the absence of rejection []. Although CD38 expression alone is not a specific marker of T-cell activation, the association with innate immune ratios and the absence of systemic inflammation argue against nonspecific immune activation. Instead, these findings are more consistent with immune phenotypes involving both innate and adaptive compartments rather than nonspecific immune activation. IgM+IgD+ B-cells represent a naïve-like B-cell subset constituting the baseline pool for early humoral responses [, ]. Alterations in B-cell composition without overt DSA formation have been described in LT [, ], supporting the interpretation of baseline qualitative humoral immune remodeling rather than antibody-mediated injury. Together, these adaptive immune features align with the broader pattern of immune phenotypes observed across innate and adaptive compartments.
Consistent with these cellular findings, cytokines associated with acute T-cell activation, including IFN-γ, TNF-α, IL-2, and IL-17A, were undetectable in most recipients. Clinically stable LT recipients typically exhibit attenuated systemic inflammatory responses despite ongoing antigen exposure [, ]. The absence of associations between PIRCHE-II and circulating cytokines or endothelial activation markers suggests that PIRCHE-II–associated immune phenotypes are subclinical and primarily reflected at the cellular level.
Although both PIRCHE-II and Snow represent epitope-level mismatch frameworks, they capture distinct biological dimensions of HLA incompatibility. In this study, only PIRCHE-II showed consistent associations with immune phenotypes. Given these conceptual differences, this comparison should be interpreted as contextual and hypothesis-generating rather than as a formal superiority analysis. PIRCHE-II models donor-derived peptide presentation by recipient HLA class II molecules, approximating indirect allorecognition and CD4+ T-cell help [, , ], mechanisms thought to predominate in late and subclinical alloimmune responses in LT. In contrast, Snow focuses on surface-exposed B-cell epitopes and does not incorporate antigen processing or presentation, which may limit its sensitivity in this setting. These differences may help explain previous reports of inconsistent associations between epitope-based metrics and clinical outcomes in LT [, ], suggesting that distinct epitope mismatch frameworks capture different biological layers of alloimmunity.
Exploratory analyses involving DSA were limited by the very small number of DSA-positive cases and were therefore interpreted as descriptive and hypothesis-generating. Early post-transplant DSA were class II–directed and occurred in recipients with higher PIRCHE-II scores, whereas Snow scores showed substantial overlap according to DSA status. These observations are consistent with, but do not establish, a link between indirect alloimmune burden and early humoral alloimmunity. Importantly, neither liver biochemical parameters nor exploratory clinical correlates demonstrated measurable associations with PIRCHE-II–associated immune phenotypes, supporting the interpretation that these signatures reflect subclinical immune phenotypes rather than clinically overt graft injury in this cohort.
Longitudinal analyses between months 3 and 6 did not identify consistent temporal expansion patterns across immune compartments and should be interpreted cautiously given the limited sample size and exploratory design. These findings suggest that the immunophenotypic differences associated with PIRCHE-II may be more prominently captured at early post-transplant time points rather than through short-term longitudinal dynamics.
Limitations include the modest sample size, single-center design, and lack of hard clinical endpoints, which limit causal inference and preclude robust adjustment for confounders such as immunosuppressive exposure and clinical heterogeneity. The study was designed as an exploratory, hypothesis-generating analysis prioritizing immunological resolution over statistical power, and its findings should be read as biological insight into epitope-associated immune phenotypes rather than evidence of clinical impact. Clinical stability at month 3 does not necessarily reflect immunological quiescence, which was not confirmed by protocol biopsy, so the findings represent cross-sectional associations at a defined early time point. Pre-transplant immunophenotyping was unavailable, limiting our ability to separate pre-existing recipient biology from donor–recipient mismatch; because PIRCHE-II is a property of the specific donor–recipient pairing rather than a recipient-intrinsic trait, however, it is unlikely to track recipient biology alone. Given the absence of a formal sample-size calculation, the significance of all four prespecified endpoints should be interpreted cautiously and requires independent validation. Nevertheless, the use of prespecified endpoints, standardized immunophenotyping, and internal consistency across compartments support the robustness of the observed associations.
In conclusion, donor–recipient HLA epitope-mismatch burden, as captured by PIRCHE-II, is associated with peripheral immune phenotypes in clinically stable LT recipients, with the most robust and reproducible signal localized to innate immune compartments. These associations occur in the absence of systemic inflammation, highlighting the predominantly qualitative nature of epitope mismatch–associated immune differences. Rather than supporting immediate clinical application, these findings provide a conceptual framework relating immunogenetic mismatch to peripheral immune phenotypes post-LT. Further studies integrating immune profiling with longitudinal clinical outcomes are warranted to determine clinical relevance in susceptible LT recipients.
Statements
Data availability statement
The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.
Ethics statement
The studies involving humans were approved by the Clinical Research Ethics Committee (Comité de Ética de la Investigación con Medicamentos, CEIm) of Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Madrid, Spain. The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. The participants provided their written informed consent to participate in this study.
Author contributions
AC-M: Conceptualization, Methodology, Formal analysis, Investigation, Data curation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review and editing, Project administration. LD-M: Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review and editing. MP: Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review and editing. RA: Investigation, Writing – review and editing. CR-M: Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review and editing. AF-Y: Investigation, Writing – review and editing. FD-F: Investigation, Writing – review and editing. MR: Investigation, Writing – review and editing. MF-M: Investigation, Writing – review and editing. AM: Investigation, Writing – review and editing. PD-G: Investigation, Writing – review and editing. AB: Investigation, Writing – review and editing. RB: Supervision, Funding acquisition, Writing – review and editing. MS: Supervision, Funding acquisition, Writing – review and editing. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.
Funding
The author(s) declared that financial support was received for this work and/or its publication. This work was supported by the Fundación Mutua Madrileña (grant FMM21/02). AC-M is supported by a Juan Rodés contract (JR22/00052) from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII), co-funded by the European Union.
Conflict of interest
The author(s) declared that this work was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
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Supplementary material
The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontierspartnerships.org/articles/10.3389/ti.2026.16978/full#supplementary-material
Abbreviations
AR, Acute rejection; BMI, Body mass index; cDC, Conventional dendritic cells; DSA, Donor-specific antibodies; FDR, False discovery rate; HLA, Human leukocyte antigen; ICAM-1, Intercellular adhesion molecule-1; IFN-γ, Interferon gamma; IL, Interleukin; IQR, Interquartile range; LT, Liver transplantation; MASLD, Metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease; MELD, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease; MFI, Mean fluorescence intensity; NK, Natural killer; pDC, Plasmacytoid dendritic cells; PIRCHE-II, Predicted Indirectly Recognizable HLA Epitopes II; PSC, Primary sclerosing cholangitis; PBC, Primary biliary cholangitis; AIH, Autoimmune hepatitis; Treg, Regulatory T cells; TNF-α, Tumor necrosis factor alpha; VCAM-1, Vascular cell adhesion molecule-1.
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Summary
Keywords
HLA epitope mismatch, immune phenotyping, indirect allorecognition, innate and adaptive immunity, liver transplantation, PIRCHE-II, nonclassical monocytes, natural killer cells
Citation
Caballero-Marcos A, Díaz-Muñoz L, Puerto M, Alenda R, Ruiz-Martín C, Fernández-Yunquera A, Díaz-Fontenla F, Romero M, Fernández-Martínez M, Morales Á, Duque-González P, Balas A, Bañares R and Salcedo M (2026) PIRCHE-II epitope burden associates with innate immune phenotypes after liver transplantation. Transpl. Int. 39:16978. doi: 10.3389/ti.2026.16978
Received
20 May 2026
Revised
07 September 2026
Accepted
06 October 2026
Published
11 November 2026
Volume
39 - 2026
Updates
Copyright
© 2026 Caballero-Marcos, Díaz-Muñoz, Puerto, Alenda, Ruiz-Martín, Fernández-Yunquera, Díaz-Fontenla, Romero, Fernández-Martínez, Morales, Duque-González, Balas, Bañares and Salcedo.
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*Correspondence: Aránzazu Caballero-Marcos, aranzazu.caballero@salud.madrid.org
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